Bats: Unknown Olthoff has plenty of stuff, including a fastball that sits in the low 90s, but command and control are his calling card. To me, Abreus case looks very strong, as he racked up 433 HR despite many of his prime seasons in Cuba lasting only 90 games. Z. Wheeler 32 14 10 .583 3 2 20 213.1. Durham Bulls (Rays AAA) 86-44, .662 4. All nine Camels in the batting order. The only significant factor that is uncertain in this situation is health. Between a breakout 2021 campaign and 2022, the journeyman reliever dropped his strong 9.6% walk rate to a miniscule 2.5%, good for best in the league. The bats came alive and the pitching was stout on another clear and sunny day in the Kansas City area, as the Northwestern College baseball team (2-6, 0-0 GPAC) swept the day to conclude the 2023 Rube Foster Classic with two wins over Kansas Christian and Park (Mo.). The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball. Not to agree or disagree with your conclusions overall, but there is some evidence that Abreus time in Cuba was HOF worthy. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors
.200-.250 OPS seems like the gap between the CNS and the MLB (Rusney Castillo is at .202, Gurriel is at .248). The Tigers have seven players batting .300 or better and four players batting .400 or better, including leadoff hitter Gavin Dugan (.478), No. The righthander might have had the best abbreviated season of anyone in 2020, as he put up a 0.32 ERA and .128 opponent batting average with 47 strikeouts and only three walks in 28 innings. March 1, 2023. Dan Szymborski does a nice job assessing both Gurriels and Abreus HOF cases in this article. Note: A bold faced entry denotes that the player was active during the previous Major League season. I honestly dont know that anyone, anyone at all, has ever posted so many times without garnering even a small amount of support for any of the posts. As long as Im here, my general rule-of-thumb is that the only numbers that count outside of MLB come from Japan. Its most certainly conjecture, but its not beyond the realm of possibility, and to say he has no case goes too far, imo. Its possible; different careers have different arcs. We got just a short glimpse of Leiter as a freshman last season, but there was plenty to like, including 12 strikeouts in five hitless innings against South Alabama in his first start of the season. We break down the top 25 candidates. Additionally, you can subscribe to Baseball America's newsletter and receive all of our rankings, analysis, prospect insight & more delivered to your inbox every day. With Jos Abreu at first base and Michael Brantley as the DH, there isnt room for Gurriel in Houstons starting lineup. Beyond the MLB players and potential future stars, Team Korea has some veteran players rounding out the lineup from the KBO. If we just restrict the list to players whose first season in the majors was later than 1970, the leader board looks like this: We can see that the leader board is dominated by players whose first season was between 1980 and 1989 (14). Once out of pool play, the pitching it faces is expected to be much tougher, and their hitters ability to adjust to high-end pitchers will determine how far the team goes. The Astros first baseman hit 194 fly balls and only managed a hit on 26 of them. He was absolutely amazing in Cuba and definitely deserves to be in the Cuban Baseball Hall of Fame. Thats partially a function of the starting year, but also reflects the hitters in that era (Boggs, Gwynn, etc.) In 2021, Ohtani recorded just nine wins in 23 starts but notched 15 in 28 appearances last season. Im just saying that projecting 20 WAR in this make-believe world is not conservative at all. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. That includes plenty of people who were older than 32 in 2006 and others that are still younger than 38. He only has 1 season over 5 fWAR and unlike Gurriel he played his traditional peak years in MLB. Because you got me looking at it, if you order their seasons by wRC+ over 130 (ignoring their 2020 MVP years) between Abreu and Freeman it goes. No longer could his other skills pick up the slack. Im really talking about that that 26-30 run where he had a .250 ISO, racking up 8 more WAR in 80 fewer games than he had from 21-25. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. All Rights Reserved by Baseball Almanac, Inc.Hosted by Hosting 4 Less. Active Batting Batting Career Leaders & Records for Strikeouts POWERED BY Create your own custom leaderboards Become a Stathead today and run queries with our Seasons before and after were unremarkable as well. Yet since moving stateside, Gurriel has worn just one uniform, and it still seems strange to think of him wearing any colors other than blue, orange, and white. That said, a high strikeout rate is sustainable for a pitcher with Lonsways stuff, which includes a fastball that reaches the mid 90s and three secondary offerings. Along with Jeff Zimmerman, he won the 2013 SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis. He produced a SLG above .500 in each season since 2010 and from 2010-2021 he had an OPS of .900 or better every year, falling just below that benchmark in 2022 (.891). As it stands now, no way, but, the dicussion is interesting. Has 31.9rWAR in 9 years, starting at age 27. (Taking bets now: do we expect an anonymous downvote, or a shrill ad hominem?). 2.9. He rarely makes poor swing decisions (23.1% chase rate), and when he does unleash, Rutschman makes a In 2011, only 6% managed the feat. Helps me be friendly and charming in real life! Its not too late to win your mothers love. Triples When a batter reaches on a hit and stops at third base or only advances How about pitchers from you favorite team have they ever led the league in strikeouts? The fact is hes looked like a very ordinary player next to major leaguers. In 2023, however, hes hoping to prolong his big-league career with a new ball club. His bat was mediocre, his power was lacking, his baserunning was poor, and his defense was lousy in other words, his toolbox was empty. & thats without doing something subjective like assuming his peak was ages 21-26. Your login session has expired. Camels take series over Louisiana. SB:Belbin, Jarrod1; Halstead, Tyler1; Howard, Payton1; Harrill, Lawson1 Louisiana BATTING: 2B:Kyle DeBarge 1; Julian Brock 1 RBI:Heath Hood 1; Mason Zambo 2; Trey LaFleur 1; Luke Yuhasz 1; Lee Amedee 1 SF:Trey LaFleur 1 BASERUNNING: RUNS:Kyle DeBarge 1; Carson Roccaforte 1; Heath Hood 2; Julian Brock 1; Luke Yuhasz 1 Christian Macleod, LHP, Mississippi State. Copyright 1999- And if he actually looked like a hall of famer while in the U.S. compared to other players his same age, this would be a compelling last hurdle or feather in cap to put him over the top. Just a real lack of context. Correa HOU. Others would support their assertions by pointing out that Shohei Ohtani has been seeded relatively low in the standings. He didnt quite match that in 2022 but still had solid numbers in those areas. Ever wonder who had the most strikeouts the year you were born? His performance on liners was actually his best in years. Do you have a blog? In his free time, he writes for The Hardball Times, speaks about baseball research and analytics, has consulted for a Major League Baseball team, and has appeared on MLB Network's Clubhouse Confidential as well as several MLB-produced documentaries. Gurriels swing and o-swing rates jumped back up to where they once were. update=copyright.getFullYear(); We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. On the other hand, due to injury, he has only pitched in three games since the end of that season. Last season Lee did his best Tony Gwynn impression, posting a tiny 5% strikeout rate with an 11% walk rate. HR. Shit, if you knock the same OPS number off Abreus 20-25 seasons as the career gap between Yulis MLB and Serie Nacional numbers, it comes out to a .999 OPS. 169 72 66 16 46 247. As most of Pirate Nation is aware, the baseball program has been greatly affected by ALS as former head coach and ECU Hall of Fame member Keith LeClair was diagnosed with the "I know they're loaded. When you grow up and join the real world, these lessons will be helpful. Semien TOR. The Alabama lefthander was a big catalyst behind the Crimson Tides scalding-hot start to the season. College baseballs strikeout race is always a star-studded affair, with the top contenders in the mix as first-round draft picks and, typically, fronting the rotation for a team with College World Series aspirations. Someday, hell earn a plaque in the Astros Hall of Fame. Early returns are good, as he struck out 26 in 19.1 innings as a freshman in 2020. Must have done nightmares for the aul self-esteem. His command will help his stuff play up, but with a fastball that can touch the mid 90s as its best and a good slider, the stuff is plenty good as it is. Im deeply sorry that he cracked 50% as a known fucking cheater, because his statistical case is so unambiguous from both a traditional and SABR perspective. Carson Montgomery, RHP, Florida State. Moreover, since Gurriel rarely whiffs, he ended up making a ton of contact on pitches outside the strike zone. Home He was an important cultural figure in the annals of Cuban players coming stateside but thats a hard sell. Win Expectancy, Run Expectancy, and Leverage Index calculations provided by Tom Tango of InsideTheBook.com, and co-author of The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball. The fact is he came to the US and performed as a thoroughly average player, with stints of being above and well below average in between. WebTriples When a batter reaches on a hit and stops at third base or only advances farther than third base on an error or a fielder's attempt to put out another baserunner. Choi led the KBO in average launch angle last season, checking in just under 22 degrees. A Freeman comp is an impressively backwards response. In 1929, 80% of all qualified hitters had higher walk rates. ), because youre obviously incapable of anything else. - Strikeouts Leader (1933-1934 & 1937) / Hall of Famer Lefty Gomez. Lee is the best pure hitter in the KBO, with a career batting average of .342 and more career walks than strikeouts. Jose Abreu is the Cuban from their generation with a real dark-horse HOF case. 12 UCLA past Sacramento State, 3-2, on Context for Lesters opinion should include the fact that he kicks puppies and his own mother thinks he is a crushing disappointment. You know who does? One of the top arms in the 2022 draft class, look for Osmond to make a leap next season. Perkins doesnt have the track record of many of the pitchers on this list, as hes started just four games in his career, but hell have a chance to shine as a member of the Louisville weekend rotation in 2021. This is conjecture without the facts to back it up. Rodon trails only two pitchers who haven't yet appeared on this list in terms of WAR among all pitchers. Fly balls have always been Gurriels weakness. He was better at the plate after taking a full year off than Freddie Freeman has ever been in a full season. Strikeouts/9 Innings Carlos Rodn. If it is just that he got to the states just as his peak was ending, then we are talking about a likely 1st ballot kind of guy. document.write(update); But I do think we should appreciate that theres only one big difference between Abreus 21-25 seasons and Josh Gibsons: So did I. I find the argument about Abreus HOF chances to be interesting though. We need your support to make FanGraphs sustainable so you can continue to enjoy all of the stats and tools you've The fact that the Astros, who have for years stuck with him through his ups and downs, have moved on is probably the biggest indictment of where hes at right now. Outside of those three, many players in key spots will be unfamiliar to many North American fans. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted
Likely wouldnt have kept up the pace over 162, 350 BABIP (.327 career) and 32.8 HR/FB% (18.7% career). A big test for this position player group in pool play will be how they manage to do against the powerful pitching staff of Team Japan. 1. Thrust into the rotation right away as a freshman, he responded by striking out 35 in 21 innings. We present them here for purely educational purposes. Do you know which two big league pitchers from the twentieth century made the top ten? Abreu also doesnt really stack up even just comparing him to other players after age 27. In his rookie season Kang set his career highs in home runs (29) and strikeouts (124), but since then has traded some home run power for more contact and gap power. Abel is the wildcard on this list. Quad Cities River Bandits (Royals A+) 77-41, .653 5. Granger records 6 strikeouts in Florida A&M's 4-3 win over Grambling - Florida A&M Baseball Box Score 3 Grambling State 2-8 4 Florida A&M 5-7 W: Granger, Caleb (1-1) L: Connor Rudy (1-1) S: Harrison, Grant (1) Game Recap: Baseball | 3/4/2023 4:11:00 PM Granger records 6 strikeouts in Florida A&M's 4-3 win over Grambling Next Game: Walter Johnson set the Major League record for most consecutive seasons (1912 through 1919) leading any league in strikeouts, but Randy Johnson deserves a plug for stringing four consecutive seasons in the American League (1992 through 1995) then four more in the National League (1999 through 2002) four years after he did it in the junior circuit. This year, the Pirates will team up with the Pitt Community College and Clemson baseball programs to help fight and strikeout ALS with a goal of raising $10,000. He swings more than the average hitter at pitches outside the zone and less than the average hitter at pitches inside the zone. What was the offensive environment? ), without the adjustment period from the Cuban leagues. Baseball San Diego Stats Baseball vs San Diego March 11, 2023 2 p.m. Its easy to point to Gurriels 2021 season and identify the 38-year-old as a prime bounce-back candidate. Everything about Rockers track record suggests that he Sat, Mar 11 2 p.m. Many historical player head shots courtesy of David Davis. Subscribe to Stathead Baseball: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Baseball Reference Database. Per the Miami Herald, the Marlins made an offer to Gurriel earlier this winter, but the veteran was hesitant to accept. Narrator: TKDC continued whining, while offering no defense to claims like I think Javier Vazquez was better than Cole Hamels, regardless of how much data indicates that pitchers DO impact batted ball outcomes!!!!!. Because of an injury in 2019 and the season cancellation in 2020, Hill has thrown just 21.2 innings over two seasons at LSU, but he has struck out 28 in those innings. copyright=new Date(); He could have 10, 15, 25. Web- Reggie Jackson (American League career leader for strikeouts) The most times an American League pitcher struck out during a single season was 65 times set in 1972, by Wilbur Wood of the Chicago White Sox. His bat to ball skills and discipline are paired with modest game power, though his raw power suggests more room for growth. His case wouldnt be about being a trailblazer.. Copyright 2023 Baseball America Enterprises. At the plate, Rutschmans batting eye is extremely sharp, as evidenced by his 13.8% walk rate and 18.3% strikeout rate. Even accounting for longevity, he accomplished the feat in 86% of his qualified seasons. Web2021 Major League Baseball Pitching Leaders | Baseball-Reference.com via Sports Logos.net About logos 2021 Major League Baseball Pitching Leaders Previous Season You think its unlikely. 2 hitter Brayden Jobert (.450), No. Park was a notable prospect for his power, which he did show in his brief MLB look, hitting 12 home runs in 62 games. Just for reference, there are 27 post-1947 1B who had at least 40 fWAR through age 32 (which is the early career production Guerriel would have needed to reach 50 career WAR). Na also dealt with a gruesome injury in 2019, and his mobility has suffered since returning. If Wright managed to continue this trend through the end of the season it would be the first time in his career he achieved such a feat. Its no wonder he posted such excellent offensive numbers, including the highest wRC+ of his career. But in the U.S., even if you dont penalize him at all (and its not so much penalizing him as it is rewarding players who played in MLB prior to age 27), he doesnt look like a hall of famer. That would mean Abreu wouldve needed less than 40% of Alberts output to be at the 52 WAR I conjectured without facts (because there are no stats for those years). Parks continued success hitting for power has him fourth all-time in KBO home runs despite a slow start to his career and missing two of his prime years playing in North America. He struck out 114 in 99.2 innings as a freshman, including 19 in a no-hitter against Duke in the super regionals. Today's pitch is Carlos Rodn's four-seam fastball, a pitch that according to Statcast's Run-Value was tied for the 2nd best fastball in the entire sport. Past that, if youre a person who DOES want to just play the conversion game straight up and then treat his pre-age-27 accomplishments as equivalent for HOF purposes, I believe a statement that him earning 20 WAR would be a conservative estimate is belied by how few first baseman have done that. Home But on fly balls, his quality of contact took a major hit: With that in mind, its no surprise Gurriels production on fly balls suffered in 2022: In case youre wondering, thats not a typo. KANSAS CITY, Mo. Yuli Gurriel has played professional baseball around the world, suiting up in Cuba and Japan before making his way to MLB. He was kinda the same player at age 24 that he was a 31, hes had a few bigger seasons, but they are distributed fairly evenly over the last decade. Maybe someday we will get a better sense of how to translate Korean or Cuban stats but we arent there yet. Or because juicing Matsuis NPB stats to match the delta that Abreu saw moving from the CNS would still leave his 19-28 numbers drastically worse than Abreus? Gerrit Cole leads the list, with Corbin Burnes, Jacob DeGrom, and Carlos Rodon closely following the Yankees ace. It's a need that must serve the situation for fans; as long as their teams and ball players are seeded well in any competitive standings, everything feels right; as soon as it goes the other way, they start having trouble with the list and the choices made. He did benefit a bit from the sharp decline in strikeout rates that started in 1969, but even still amassing 18 such seasons is an impressive feat. Only 21 went for extra bases. The result has always been a high contact rate but an equally low walk rate. Lee will be hoping to use the WBC as a chance to showcase his hitting skills against elite pitchers, as he is expected to be posted by Kiwoom after the 2023 season. Context for TKDCs opinions on Abreus HoF chances should include the weeks he spent claiming that Beltrans 400 bombs and 2700 hits meant that no traditional voter would have ever considered him as a viable candidate, even without the scandal. Last season Lee did his best Tony Gwynn impression, posting a tiny 5% strikeout rate with an 11% walk rate. That would conceivably increase his counting stats to probably 400-450+ HR, 1500+ RBI, 2500+ hits, etc. His swing currently produces a lot of line drives, which limits his ability to drive balls out of the park, though the raw power he has suggests he could sacrifice some batting average for more power with mechanical changes. Many thanks to him. It makes sense when a batter hits bad pitches, hes more likely to make bad contact. His walk rate fell in response. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. I expect this is going to be something Jay Jaffe will be working on about 8 year from now. On groundballs and line drives, his average EV and HardHit% were both close to his career averages. Spring training is now well underway, and Gurriels options are dwindling. As most of Pirate Nation is aware, the baseball program has been greatly affected by ALS as former head coach and ECU Hall of Fame member Keith LeClair was diagnosed with the This list is about half HOFers and the stretch around Gurriel illustrates that he likely would have been a guy who is at least in the conversation. Yes, home run rates have certainly increased. Turns out, its exceedingly rare. Batting Average. Are you still sore because I said that Beltran would be no-doubt, shoe-in, First Ballot HoF if he werent a fucking cheater? All that progress went out the window in 2022. WebCheck out the Spring 2023 Mississippi Boys Baseball Batters Struck Out stat leaders, including stats for Batters Faced, Innings Pitched Decimal, and Games Played. Batting 2B:SAFFORD, Will 1 HR:DROST, Brody 1 RBI:DROST, Brody 3; DAVIS, Dalton 1; SAFFORD, Will 2 BASERUNNING: RUNS:DROST, Brody 1; CORONA, Jorge 1; MYERS, Adarius 1; SAFFORD, Will 1; MCLEOD, Logan 2 HBP:CORONA, Jorge 1 Ole Miss BATTING: 2B:Lege, Ethan1 3B:Groff, Ethan1 RBI:Groff, Ethan2; Harris, Calvin1; Calarco, Anthony1; The core premise of Abreus HoF case is, as stated above: What if Abreu had a crazy peak from 21-27, and 6 of those years came while he couldnt play in the MLB.. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. Another step forward could put him among the countrys top arms in terms of strikeouts. It would be about whether its fair to completely discount his insane run from 20-25 (and especially 22-24) solely because his birthplace denied him the opportunity to compete in the majors. the official stats partner of the NBA, NHL and MLB. Cusick struck out 43 batters in 22.1 innings in 2020 and only improved his stock as a potential strikeout king with his performance over the summer, when he struck out 40 in 23.1 innings in the Coastal Plain League thanks to a fastball that was up to 96 mph and a slider thats above average at its best. For more context, since 2006, he ranks 50th in WAR for ages 32-38. Bachman had a nice freshman season in 2019, striking out 75 in 75.2 innings, but in 2020, he started to show an improved ability to dominate by totaling 31 strikeouts in 23.2 innings thanks in large part to a fastball up to 96 mph. Na also features some flaws in his game that can be exploited. Meanwhile, the newfound plate discipline that briefly helped him defy the aging curve completely disappeared. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. Part of the Baseball Almanac Family, Current Through End of 2023 Regular Season. Even if his ROS performance was equivalent to 2021, the extra 1.5 WAR pushes him 6 spots up the list. Minnesotas Max Meyer and Texas A&Ms Asa Lacy both finished in the top five in the nation in strikeouts and then were also selected in the top five picks. Honestly, this is good for you. Second, as with the rise of TTO players, strikeout rates seem to be the driving force. Sponsors. The first is, Joining Lee in the heart of the lineup will be KT Wiz first baseman, Despite his strong performances in the KBO, there are some storylines worth following with Kang in the WBC. Hurter missed part of the 2019 season and all of the 2020 season due to injury. To me he has a HoF case because he was stuck in Cuba during his best years when he was one of the best players in the world. CARSON -- Centerfielder Eric Smelko enjoyed a 5-for-5 performance at the plate with five runs scored and three RBI as Cal State Dominguez Hills' offense exploded GAME 1: Northwestern 10, If the Marlins are still calling, hed be wise to pick up the phone. Lee ranked fourth in the KBO last season with an average exit velocity of 89 MPH according to our Synthetic Statcast model (SIS replicates Statcast data for non-MLB leagues), and he also finished in the top 10 in hard-hit rate (38%) and expected BABIP (.388). After turning in an outstanding freshman season in 2019, Boone appeared to take a step forward in 2020, striking out 13.08 batters per nine innings after punching out 8.89 per nine innings as a freshman. Be the first one to comment on this story. The veteran Park is a much better defender, and won the KBO Fielding Bible Award at first base this past season. When hes been healthy, hes been inconsistent in his career, but hes always been able to dominate hitters when hes on. Because of my beliefs about non-U.S. baseball accomplishments effect on hall worthiness, I dont have to grapple with these unknowables. Hajjar is going into his third season in the Michigan program, but after a redshirt season and the 2020 cancellation, he hasnt thrown that many competitive pitches. Among post 1947 1B with 3,000+ PA from age 33 on, he is 21st of 33 qualifiers in fWAR. But its hard to make that argument because Abreu wasnt exactly a trailblazer. Also available on the infield is Ji-hwan Oh, who has won the KBO Fielding Bible Award at shortstop in each of the last two seasons.
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